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Home › Scotland › Premiership › ST Mirren — ST Johnstone

Predictions by Market: ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Home · last 5 W L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 08 Aug · 14:00
1:0
Full-time
ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone
L D W L D Away · last 5
The SMiSA Stadium · Paisley Referee R. Hardie

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MIR
39%
Best 2.40
Draw
27%
Best 3.36
Away Win · JOH
34%
Best 3.10
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.08
Fair odds
2.02
book 2.08 · +3.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Low
p 50% · EV +3.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (50%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 39.2%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 34.2%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 26.6%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 53.6%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 46.4%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 74.9%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 25.1%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 49.6%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.4%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
MIR – JOH @ 2.08
+3.2%
Edge
Forecast →