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Home › England › Premier League › Bournemouth — Burnley

Predictions by Market: Bournemouth vs Burnley

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Home · last 5 D W W D D
Kick-off
Sat 20 Dec · 15:00
1:1
Full-time
Burnley
Burnley
L L D L D Away · last 5
Vitality Stadium · Bournemouth Referee Chris Kavanagh, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BOU
69%
Best 1.53
Draw
21%
Best 4.43
Away Win · BUR
10%
Best 6.20
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.50
Fair odds
3.98
book 4.50 · +13.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 25% · EV +13.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (75%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 69%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 20.6%
Odds 4.70
Show model details
Implied probability 21.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 10.4%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 49.5%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 50.5%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29.2%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70.8%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.1%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.3%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.7%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74.9%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.6%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 49.4%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 69%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 10.4%
Odds 5.17
Show model details
Implied probability 19.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 31%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 89.6%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
BOU – BUR @ 4.50
+13.0%
Edge
Forecast →