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Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Legia Warszawa — Motor Lublin

Predictions by Market: Legia Warszawa vs Motor Lublin

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
Home · last 5 L W W W W
Kick-off
Sat 23 May · 15:30
4:0
Full-time
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
L L W D L Away · last 5
Referee J. Przybyl

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LEG
54%
Best 1.47
Draw
21%
Best 4.50
Away Win · MOT
25%
Best 6.00
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.46
Fair odds
2.16
book 2.46 · +13.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 46% · EV +13.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (75%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 24.9%
Odds 5.69
Show model details
Implied probability 17.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 53.7%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 21.4%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 50.3%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 28.6%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 71.4%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.1%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8%
Odds 15.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.9%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 49.7%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.3%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 24.9%
Odds 4.25
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 53.7%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 46.3%
Odds 2.46
Show model details
Implied probability 40.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LEG – MOT @ 2.46
+13.9%
Edge
Forecast →