P
Prognosist
P
Home Poland Ekstraklasa Raków Częstochowa — Arka Gdynia

Match Raków Częstochowa vs Arka Gdynia May 23, 2026 — Result and Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
Home · last 5 W W L W W
Kick-off
Sat 23 May · 15:30
3:0
Full-time
Arka Gdynia
Arka Gdynia
L D D L L Away · last 5
Referee D. Stefanski
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 2.30
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.85
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 46% · book 1.95
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
0.52 – 0.60
Δ −0.08
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Raków Częstochowa enters this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and a clear quality edge over Arka Gdynia. Their attacking threat is well-matched against Arka’s defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting they can control the game tempo. Arka’s recent form struggles and lower offensive output hint at a tough away test, likely favoring a compact Raków block and disciplined pressing.

  • Home side’s superior form and quality gap
  • Effective attack vs. away defense mismatch
  • Likely controlled pace and tactical discipline from Raków

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

RAK 30 ARK
60%
Possession (%)
40%
0.52
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.60
12
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
5
6
Shots Inside Box
5
1
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
10
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Raków Częstochowa beat Arka Gdynia 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 8, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 4 to 1. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 0.52 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.31 units (Brier 0.089).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.30 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.85 54% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.95 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.62 50% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.50 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.50 71% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.50 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.08 92% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Home Win 1.33 73% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.10 73% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.00 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.10 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 92% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.30 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.18 73% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Away Win 9.00 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 7.00 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −6.31u −37% ROI