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Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice 1:4: Match Review & Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
Home · last 5 L W L L L
Kick-off
Fri 09 Oct · 18:30
1:4
Full-time
GKS Katowice
GKS Katowice
W L L W W Away · last 5
Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie · Czestochowa Referee Damian Kos
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.40 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 42% · book 2.62 ✗
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 64% · book 1.67 ✓
Total goals
5
1 · 4
xG (open play)
1.20 – 2.57
Δ −1.37
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.40 — +11.9% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.40 ✗ Lost
AI 47% Implied 42% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

RAK 1 – 4 GKS
60%
Possession (%)
40%
1.20
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.57
18
Total Shots
18
4
Shots on Target
8
9
Shots off Target
6
13
Shots Inside Box
12
6
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
16
2
Yellow Cards
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

GKS Katowice won 4–1 away at Raków Częstochowa. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.57 to 1.20. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.11 units (Brier 0.248).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.40 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.62 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.67 — 64% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Home Win 2.17 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.25 — 33% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
Away Win 3.00 — 40% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.59 — 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.44 — 58% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.37 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.53 — 53% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Draw 3.90 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −1.11u −10% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
RAK – GKS @ 2.40
+11.9%
Edge
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