Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze 1:3: Match Review & Stats
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 18:15
1:3
Full-time
Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku · Bialystok
Referee Wojciech Myc
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 45% · book 2.63
✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 2.08
✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 47% · book 2.30
✗
xG (open play)
0.60 – 1.95
Δ −1.35
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Model verdict
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.08 — +9.2% better than the market.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.08
✗ Lost
AI 53%
Implied 48%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
JAG 4-2-3-1 · GOR 4-3-3
📊 Statistics
JAG 1
– 3 GOR
0.60
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.95
Match recap
Gornik Zabrze won 3–1 away at Jagiellonia. At half-time it was 0–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.95 to 0.60. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 11, 9 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.74 units (Brier 0.266).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
11 · 5 W · 6 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Away Win |
2.63 |
— |
45% |
Cashed |
+1.63 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.08 |
— |
53% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.30 |
— |
47% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.62 |
— |
53% |
Cashed |
+0.62 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.73 |
— |
47% |
Cashed |
+0.73 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
2.50 |
— |
30% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.75 |
— |
27% |
Cashed |
+1.75 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.53 |
— |
70% |
Cashed |
+0.53 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.40 |
— |
73% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.44 |
— |
55% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
3.50 |
— |
25% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 11 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
5 W · 6 L |
−0.74u |
−7% ROI |
