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Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Raków Częstochowa — Motor Lublin

Predictions by Market: Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
Home · last 5 L W L L L
Kick-off
Fri 11 Sep · 16:00
2:1
Full-time
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
D L L L D Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · RAK
49%
Best 1.91
Draw
23%
Best 3.72
Away Win · MOT
27%
Best 3.62
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.10
Fair odds
3.65
book 4.10 · +12.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 27% · EV +12.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (49%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 49.3%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 27.4%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.9%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 50.7%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
RAK – MOT @ 4.10
+12.2%
Edge
Forecast →