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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Lech Poznan — Piast Gliwice

Predictions Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice August 9, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
Home · last 5 D W W
Kick-off
Sun 09 Aug · 15:30
3:0
Full-time
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice
L W L L D Away · last 5
Referee Patryk Gryckiewicz, Poland
Home Win · LEC
54%
Best 1.57
Draw
23%
Best 4.33
Away Win · PIA
24%
Best 5.22
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.38
Fair odds
2.15
book 2.38 · +10.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Medium
p 47% · EV +10.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (76%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 23.5%
Odds 5.04
Show model details
Implied probability 19.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 52.1%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 47.9%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 26.9%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 73.1%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.3%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 46.6%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LEC – PIA @ 2.38
+10.8%
Edge
Forecast →