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Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Lech Poznan — Piast Gliwice

Predictions by Market: Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
Home · last 5 W W L W W
Kick-off
Sun 09 Aug · 15:30
3:0
Full-time
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice
D W W W L Away · last 5
Referee Patryk Gryckiewicz, Poland

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LEC
54%
Best 1.57
Draw
23%
Best 4.33
Away Win · PIA
24%
Best 5.22
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.38
Fair odds
2.15
book 2.38 · +10.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 47% · EV +10.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (76%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 23.5%
Odds 5.04
Show model details
Implied probability 19.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 52.1%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 47.9%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 26.9%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 73.1%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.3%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 46.6%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LEC – PIA @ 2.38
+10.8%
Edge
Forecast →