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Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Pogon Szczecin — Motor Lublin

Predictions by Market: Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
Home · last 5 D D D W W
Kick-off
Sat 08 Aug · 15:30
3:1
Full-time
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
D L L L D Away · last 5
Florian-Krygier-Stadion · Szczecin Referee S. Marciniak

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · POG
44%
Best 2.02
Draw
26%
Best 3.60
Away Win · MOT
31%
Best 3.54
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.51
Fair odds
3.27
book 3.51 · +7.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 31% · EV +7.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (44%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 43.8%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 30.6%
Odds 3.51
Show model details
Implied probability 28.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.6%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 2 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 46.3%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 53.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 43.4%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56.6%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 56.2%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
POG – MOT @ 3.51
+7.5%
Edge
Forecast →