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GKS Katowice vs Radomiak Radom 3:1: Match Review & Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
GKS Katowice
GKS Katowice
Home · last 5 W L L W W
Kick-off
Sun 02 Aug · 18:15
3:1
Full-time
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom
D W D L L Away · last 5
Arena Katowice · Katowice Referee Patryk Gryckiewicz, Poland
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 2.05 ✗
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 53% · book 1.91 ✗
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 47% · book 1.88 ✓
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
1.93 – 0.72
Δ +1.21
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
3 / 7
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.05 — +13.4% better than the market.

GKS Katowice faces a tough test against Radomiak Radom, who arrive with recent winning momentum. The home side’s form is shaky, while Radomiak’s confidence is boosted by a recent victory. Expect a cautious game with a pressing edge for the visitors, who may look to exploit set-piece opportunities given the home side’s defensive lapses. The match could lean towards a tight contest with limited goals.

  • Radomiak’s recent form advantage
  • Home side’s defensive vulnerabilities
  • Likely compact and tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.05 ✗ Lost
AI 55% Implied 49% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

GKS 3 – 1 RAD
55%
Possession (%)
45%
1.93
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.72
25
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
2
10
Shots off Target
6
16
Shots Inside Box
7
10
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
10
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
4
Yellow Cards
5
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

GKS Katowice beat Radomiak Radom 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.93 to 0.72. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 10, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 9 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 3 landed and 4 missed, for a net -2.20 units (Brier 0.201).

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 3 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.05 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.91 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.88 — 47% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.70 — 45% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Away Win 3.90 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.22 — 72% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Draw 3.70 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each — — — 3 W · 4 L −2.20u −31% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
GKS – RAD @ 2.05
+13.4%
Edge
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