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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Korona Kielce — Gornik Zabrze

Preview Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze September 15, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
Home · last 5 W D W D W
Kick-off
Tue 15 Sep · 18:30
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze
W L W W W Away · last 5
Exbud Arena · Kielce
Home Win · KOR
37%
Best 2.62
Draw
26%
Best 3.60
Away Win · GOR
38%
Best 2.51

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 54% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Korona Kielce hosts Gornik Zabrze in a tightly poised Ekstraklasa clash. Both sides show solid recent form, with Gornik slightly edging in points per game. The matchup hints at a balanced contest, with Korona's home momentum countered by Gornik's sharper attack. Expect a tactical battle with compact defenses and cautious buildup, likely keeping the goal count modest. The odds suggest a moderate tempo, favoring a close game where set-pieces and pressing could be decisive.

  • Home resilience vs away attacking threat
  • Recent form favors slight away edge
  • Moderate pace with tactical discipline

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 38% Gornik Zabrze win
Over/Under 2.5 50% Over 2.5
BTTS 54% Yes
Double Chance 63% X2
  • 1X2 Gornik Zabrze win 38%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50%
  • BTTS Yes 54%
  • Double Chance X2 63%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Korona Kielce
W/D/L 3-2-0
Goals (for / against) 8 / 4
Avg goals / match 2.4
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 3-0-0
xG (for / against) 0.90 / 1.47
Gornik Zabrze
W/D/L 4-0-1
Goals (for / against) 9 / 6
Avg goals / match 3.0
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.52 / 1.63

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.29
Goals Scored
2
0.86
Goals Conceded
1.14
0.63
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
3.29
Shots on Target
4.43
3.43
Corners
5.57
40.29
Possession (%)
44
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
0
OFF · home
39
94
DEF · home
33
61
OFF · away
83
56
DEF · away
100
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Korona Kielce wins when scoring first
Gornik Zabrze wins when scoring first
Korona Kielce BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Gornik Zabrze BTTS rate · last 10
80%
Korona Kielce Over 2.5 · last 10
20%
Gornik Zabrze Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Korona Kielce comeback rate · last 10
0%
Gornik Zabrze comeback rate · last 10
67%

🔥 Goal timing

Korona Kielce · last 5 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 22%
31–45 22%
46–60 33%
61–75 11%
76–90 11%

Gornik Zabrze · last 5 away

0–15 14%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 14%
61–75 43%
76–90 29%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

M. Stępiński
KOR · Attacker
4 G · 0.67 g/90
M. Faßbender
KOR · Attacker
3 G · 0.61 g/90
K. Urbański
GOR · Midfielder
3 G · 0.44 g/90
Peter
GOR · Attacker
2 G · 0.72 g/90