Match Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia April 27, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.85 — +11.7% better than the market.

Piast Gliwice hold a clear quality edge and home momentum, showing better recent form and a stronger defensive setup. Their pressing and compact block could stifle Arka Gdynia, who struggle to break down solid defenses despite a decent attacking profile. The pace hints at a moderately open game, but the home side's tactical discipline and set-piece threat may limit scoring chances.

Home defensive solidity vs away attack
Recent form favors Piast
Moderate tempo with tactical control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.85 ✗ Lost

AI 60% Implied 54% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PIA 4-1-4-1 · ARK 4-2-3-1

PIA · 4-1-4-1 4-2-3-1 · ARK

7 Félix

📊 Statistics

PIA 4 – 1 ARK

64%

Possession (%)

36%

2.37

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.22

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

68%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Piast Gliwice beat Arka Gdynia 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.37 to 1.22. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 7, 12 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.37 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.85 units (Brier 0.208).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.85	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.83	—	59%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
BTTS No	1.91	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	43%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.98	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.00	—	40%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.40	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.00	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.20	—	84%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.35	—	59%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.30	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	88%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.58	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.30	—	65%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.14	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.50	—	20%	Cashed	+2.50	Cashed
Away Win	4.38	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.85u	−17% ROI