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Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Samsunspor — Trabzonspor

Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor 0:3: Match Review & Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 13:00
0:3
Full-time
Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor
L W L W W Away · last 5
Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu · Samsun Referee Oguzhan Cakir, Türkiye
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 56% · book 2.06 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 2.22 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.26 ✓
Total goals
3
0 · 3
xG (open play)
1.37 – 1.98
Δ −0.61
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 2.06 — +14.9% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 2.06 ✓ Cashed
AI 56% Implied 49% +1.06u
+106%
ROI on stake

Statistics

SAM 0 – 3 TRA
56%
Possession (%)
44%
1.37
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.98
23
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Target
7
8
Shots off Target
4
11
Shots Inside Box
10
9
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
1
22
Fouls
6
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
2
Yellow Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match recap

Trabzonspor won 3–0 away at Samsunspor. At half-time it was 0–3.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.98 to 1.37. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 13, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 5. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.19 units (Brier 0.162).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.06 — 56% Cashed +1.06 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.22 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.26 — 46% Cashed +1.26 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.62 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.72 — 49% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.83 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.62 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.33 — 80% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 — 71% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Draw 3.84 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.60 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −2.19u −20% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
SAM – TRA @ 2.06
+14.9%
Edge
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