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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Pogon Szczecin — Lech Poznan

Predictions Pogon Szczecin vs Lech Poznan April 18, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
Home · last 5 D W L W D
Kick-off
Sat 18 Apr · 18:15
1:2
Full-time
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
W W D W D Away · last 5
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera · Szczecin Referee Patryk Gryckiewicz, Poland
Home Win · POG
24%
Best 2.95
Draw
24%
Best 3.65
Away Win · LEC
52%
Best 2.14
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 5.06
Fair odds
4.41
book 5.06 · +14.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 23% · EV +14.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (77%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 52%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 24.2%
Odds 3.07
Show model details
Implied probability 32.6%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 23.9%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 45.5%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 33.3%
Odds 2.37
Show model details
Implied probability 42.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.59
Show model details
Implied probability 62.9%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 22.7%
Odds 5.06
Show model details
Implied probability 19.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 54.5%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.5%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.5%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 77.3%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.65
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 52%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 24.2%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 48.1%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 75.9%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
POG – LEC @ 5.06
+14.8%
Edge
Forecast →