Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor 1:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.00 — +14.7% better than the market.

Samsunspor enters this clash with a clear quality edge and a slight offensive advantage, despite both sides showing similar recent form. Erzurumspor's home edge is limited, suggesting Samsunspor’s pressing and sharper attack could dictate the tempo. Expect a cautious game with defensive solidity on both ends, likely keeping the goal count low.

Samsunspor's superior overall strength and attack vs home defense
Erzurumspor's modest home momentum but defensive resilience
Odds hint at a controlled pace and under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.00 ✓ Cashed

AI 57% Implied 50% +1.00u

+100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ERZ 5-4-1 · SAM 4-2-3-1

ERZ · 5-4-1 4-2-3-1 · SAM

10 Tozlu

Statistics

ERZ 1 – 0 SAM

42%

Possession (%)

58%

0.77

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.40

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Erzurumspor FK beat Samsunspor 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.66 units (Brier 0.199).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.75	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.85	—	63%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
BTTS No	2.00	—	57%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Home Win	2.72	—	29%	Cashed	+1.72	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.05	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.50	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.28	—	83%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.49	—	55%	Cashed	+0.49	Cashed
Draw	3.40	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.50	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−1.66u	−15% ROI

Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled