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Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Trabzonspor — Galatasaray

Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray 4:0: Match Review & Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor
Home · last 5 L W L W W
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 17:00
4:0
Full-time
Galatasaray
Galatasaray
W W W L W Away · last 5
Papara Park · Trabzon Referee B. Kolak
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 53% · book 2.21 ✗
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 50% · book 2.06 ✓
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 50% · book 1.84 ✗
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
2.28 – 0.86
Δ +1.42
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.40 — +7.1% better than the market.

Galatasaray arrives at Papara Park with a clear quality edge and strong recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite Trabzonspor's home momentum. The visitors' potent attack faces a less robust defense, while Trabzonspor's offense may struggle against Galatasaray's compact block. Expect a lively pace given the goal-friendly odds, with both sides likely to find chances.

  • Galatasaray's superior overall strength and form advantage
  • Home side's defensive vulnerability against away attack
  • Potential for an open, high-tempo game with goals at both ends

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.40 ✗ Lost
AI 76% Implied 71% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

TRA 4 – 0 GAL
46%
Possession (%)
54%
2.28
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.86
7
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
5
7
Shots Inside Box
8
1
Corner Kicks
5
3
Offsides
0
15
Fouls
18
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
4
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match recap

Trabzonspor beat Galatasaray 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.28 to 0.86. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 7, 3 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 1. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.28 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net +0.31 units (Brier 0.311).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.21 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.06 — 50% Cashed +1.06 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.84 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.71 — 47% Cashed +0.71 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.40 — 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.40 — 70% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.40 — 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 3.00 — 31% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.88 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.14 — 24% Cashed +2.14 Cashed
Draw 4.00 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L +0.31u +3% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
TRA – GAL @ 1.40
+7.1%
Edge
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