P
Prognosist
P
Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Göztepe — Rizespor

Göztepe vs Rizespor 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Göztepe
Göztepe
Home · last 5 L L D D W
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 17:00
2:2
Full-time
Rizespor
Rizespor
W L W D L Away · last 5
Referee Oguzhan Cakir, Türkiye
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 48% · book 2.48 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.81 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.08 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
2.65 – 0.70
Δ +1.95
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.44 — +7.5% better than the market.

Göztepe holds a clear quality edge and a home advantage that could prove decisive against Rizespor. Despite Göztepe's shaky recent form, their offensive potential matches well against Rizespor's leaky defense, suggesting chances for goals. Rizespor's strong recent momentum and solid defensive record add intrigue, but the home side's pressing edge and tactical setup favor a competitive, possibly tight encounter.

  • Home momentum vs away defensive solidity
  • Offensive pressure likely to test Rizespor's backline
  • Moderate pace expected, balancing attack and defense

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 1.44 ✓ Cashed
AI 75% Implied 69% +0.44u
+44%
ROI on stake

Statistics

GOZ 2 – 2 RIZ
40%
Possession (%)
60%
2.65
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.70
25
Total Shots
11
10
Shots on Target
4
9
Shots off Target
3
18
Shots Inside Box
6
4
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
9
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
5
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
8

Match recap

Göztepe and Rizespor drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.65 to 0.70. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 11, 10 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +1.70 units (Brier 0.255).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.48 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.81 — 54% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.08 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.62 — 58% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
BTTS No 2.21 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.75 — 33% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.44 — 75% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 — 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.58 — 52% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Away Win 2.98 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.50 — 26% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 6 W · 5 L +1.70u +15% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
GOZ – RIZ @ 1.44
+7.5%
Edge
Forecast →