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Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Samsunspor — Çorum FK

Samsunspor vs Çorum FK 1:5: Match Review & Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 14:00
1:5
Full-time
Çorum FK
Çorum FK
L L W W L Away · last 5
Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu · Samsun Referee Ali Sansalan, Türkiye
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 2.10 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.92 ✗
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 57% · book 1.80 ✓
Total goals
6
1 · 5
xG (open play)
0.91 – 1.52
Δ −0.61
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.58 — +6.8% better than the market.

Samsunspor faces a tricky challenge against Çorum FK, who show better recent form and points per game. Samsunspor's home momentum is limited, while Çorum FK's defense might hold strong, suggesting a tight contest. The odds hint at a balanced pace with a slight lean towards fewer goals.

  • Çorum FK's recent form edge could translate into controlled attacking pressure.
  • Samsunspor may rely on set-pieces to break the deadlock.
  • Expect a compact defensive setup from both sides, limiting clear chances.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 3.58 ✓ Cashed
AI 30% Implied 28% +2.58u
+258%
ROI on stake

Statistics

SAM 1 – 5 COR
60%
Possession (%)
40%
0.91
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.52
18
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
8
9
Shots off Target
2
11
Shots Inside Box
6
8
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
18
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
0
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Çorum FK won 5–1 away at Samsunspor. At half-time it was 1–3.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.52 to 0.91. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 12, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 2. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 5 from 1.52 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net +1.39 units (Brier 0.334).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.10 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.92 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.80 — 57% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Home Win 2.26 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.80 — 49% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.96 — 45% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
Away Win 3.58 — 30% Cashed +2.58 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.32 — 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.33 — 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.40 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.25 — 25% Cashed +2.25 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L +1.39u +13% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
SAM – COR @ 3.58
+6.8%
Edge
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