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Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Amed — Başakşehir

Amed vs Başakşehir 5:0: Match Review & Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Amed
Amed
Home · last 5 W D W W D
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 17:00
5:0
Full-time
Başakşehir
Başakşehir
L D L L W Away · last 5
Referee C. Aydin
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.85 ✓
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 39% · book 2.72 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 61% · book 1.67 ✗
Total goals
5
5 · 0
xG (open play)
3.65 – 0.32
Δ +3.33
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 3.00 — +11.8% better than the market.

Amed shows stronger recent form and home momentum against a Başakşehir side struggling for consistency. The home team’s ability to secure points recently suggests they can press their advantage, especially with a slight edge in recent performances. Expect a competitive match with chances at both ends, as the pace hints at an open game with goal opportunities.

  • Home side’s better form and points per game
  • Balanced attacking threat from both teams
  • Likely open tempo favoring goal chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5
Over 3.5 @ 3.00 ✓ Cashed
AI 37% Implied 33% +2.00u
+200%
ROI on stake

Statistics

DIY 5 – 0 IST
43%
Possession (%)
57%
3.65
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.32
18
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
1
7
Shots off Target
3
12
Shots Inside Box
3
2
Corner Kicks
3
6
Offsides
0
8
Fouls
8
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Amed beat Başakşehir 5–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.65 to 0.32. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 7, 5 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net +0.27 units (Brier 0.266).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.85 — 59% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Home Win 2.72 — 39% Cashed +1.72 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.67 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.66 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.19 — 39% Cashed +1.19 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.04 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.00 — 37% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.51 — 65% Cashed +0.51 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.50 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.50 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.36 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L +0.27u +2% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
DIY – IST @ 3.00
+11.8%
Edge
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