Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kasımpaşa 1:2

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.75 — +4.7% better than the market.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. shows a slight home momentum with better recent form and a higher points per game rate compared to Kasımpaşa. The match hints at a balanced tactical battle, with both sides demonstrating similar expected goal figures, suggesting a compact and cautious approach. The odds favor a lower-scoring game, aligning with the teams' tendency to keep matches tight.

Home side's recent wins boost confidence
Close xG values imply tight defensive setups
Odds suggest a controlled pace with limited goal chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.75 ✗ Lost

AI 60% Implied 57% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

GEN 4-1-4-1 · KAS 4-2-3-1

GEN · 4-1-4-1 4-2-3-1 · KAS

9 Mendes

Statistics

GEN 1 – 2 KAS

42%

Possession (%)

58%

1.13

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.20

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Kasımpaşa won 2–1 away at Gençlerbirliği S.K.. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.86 units (Brier 0.249).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.75	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.63	—	58%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
BTTS No	1.91	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.36	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.17	—	40%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.83	—	47%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.37	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.26	—	31%	Cashed	+2.26	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.25	—	79%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Draw	3.32	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.75	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−0.86u	−8% ROI

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kasımpaşa 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled