Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor 1:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 6.39 — +10.4% better than the market.

Galatasaray enters this Süper Lig clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and higher expected goals, signaling attacking dominance. Their form edge and home comfort suggest they will press high and create chances against Kocaelispor, who have shown resilience but less firepower. The match hints at a lively tempo with potential for multiple goals given Galatasaray's offensive threat and Kocaelispor's willingness to engage.

Home side's attacking pressure likely to unsettle visitors
Kocaelispor's defense may struggle with pace and creativity
Recent draws indicate competitive but open encounters

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Draw

Draw @ 6.39 ✗ Lost

AI 17% Implied 16% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

GAL 4-2-3-1 · KOC 4-3-3

GAL · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · KOC

21 Gül

Statistics

GAL 1 – 0 KOC

61%

Possession (%)

39%

2.40

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.74

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Galatasaray beat Kocaelispor 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.40 to 0.74. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 29 shots to 12, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 16 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.66 units (Brier 0.191).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.28	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.00	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.85	—	50%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.69	—	53%	Cashed	+0.69	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.50	—	32%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
Away Win	13.00	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	4.20	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	6.39	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.50	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.05	—	87%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Home Win	1.25	—	70%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−2.66u	−24% ROI

Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled