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Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Beşiktaş — Erzurumspor FK

Predictions by Market: Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş
Home · last 5 L W W W L
Kick-off
Fri 11 Sep · 17:00
3:0
Full-time
Erzurumspor FK
Erzurumspor FK
D W L W D Away · last 5
Referee G. Hasova

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BES
67%
Best 1.23
Draw
19%
Best 6.92
Away Win · ERZ
14%
Best 13.50
Value pick
Draw
@ 5.43
Fair odds
5.19
book 5.43 · +4.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Low
p 19% · EV +4.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (67%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 13.7%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 19.3%
Odds 5.43
Show model details
Implied probability 18.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 46.3%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 53.7%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 32.8%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 67.2%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 56.7%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 43.3%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 33%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86.3%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
BES – ERZ @ 5.43
+4.6%
Edge
Forecast →