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Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Kocaelispor — Samsunspor

Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sun 06 Sep · 17:00
1:0
Full-time
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
L L L L L Away · last 5
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 40% · book 2.72 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.88 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 46% · book 1.85 ✗
Total goals
1
1 · 0
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
3 / 7
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.72 — +7.6% better than the market.

Kocaelispor shows strong home momentum with recent wins and a solid points-per-game edge over Samsunspor. Their attacking threat is evident from higher expected goals, suggesting they can press effectively against a Samsunspor defense that has struggled to contain opponents. Samsunspor's mixed form and lower scoring output hint at a cautious approach, likely resulting in a compact game with limited clear-cut chances.

  • Home side's recent winning streak fuels confidence
  • Attacking pressure likely to challenge away defense
  • Potential for a tight, tactical battle with few goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 2.72 ✓ Cashed
AI 40% Implied 37% +1.72u
+172%
ROI on stake

Statistics

KOC 1 – 0 SAM
44%
Possession (%)
56%
9
Total Shots
19
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
13
4
Shots Inside Box
13
4
Corner Kicks
4
13
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Kocaelispor beat Samsunspor 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 9, 4 on target.

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 3 landed and 4 missed, for a net -0.98 units (Brier 0.205).

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 3 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.72 — 40% Cashed +1.72 Cashed
BTTS No 1.88 — 54% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.85 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.42 — 69% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.50 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.00 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.04 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each — — — 3 W · 4 L −0.98u −14% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
KOC – SAM @ 2.72
+7.6%
Edge
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