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Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Amed — Trabzonspor

Amed vs Trabzonspor 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Amed
Amed
Home · last 5 W D W W D
Kick-off
Mon 31 Aug · 18:30
2:1
Full-time
Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor
L W L W W Away · last 5
Referee A. Karaoglan
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.19 ✗
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 56% · book 1.92 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 45% · book 2.25 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
2.39 – 0.84
Δ +1.55
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.19 — +8.3% better than the market.

Amed arrives with strong home momentum, having won their last match and showing a higher recent points per game than Trabzonspor. The home side's attacking edge and recent form suggest they can challenge effectively, especially given Trabzonspor's more modest away results. Expect a tactical battle with Amed pressing to capitalize on their momentum.

  • Home momentum and form advantage
  • Trabzonspor's cautious away approach
  • Moderate pace hinted by odds favoring under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.19 ✗ Lost
AI 49% Implied 46% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

DIY 2 – 1 TRA
40%
Possession (%)
60%
2.39
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.84
17
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
5
8
Shots off Target
1
11
Shots Inside Box
6
2
Corner Kicks
5
4
Offsides
3
18
Fouls
10
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
5
Yellow Cards
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

Amed beat Trabzonspor 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.39 to 0.84. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 8, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.44 units (Brier 0.224).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.19 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.92 — 56% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
BTTS No 2.25 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.62 — 55% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.74 — 51% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
Away Win 1.94 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.64 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.84 — 31% Cashed +2.84 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 — 70% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.29 — 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.90 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −0.44u −4% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
DIY – TRA @ 2.19
+8.3%
Edge
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