P
Prognosist
P
Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Gaziantep FK — Rizespor

Gaziantep FK vs Rizespor 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Gaziantep FK
Gaziantep FK
Home · last 5 W L W D L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 18:30
1:2
Full-time
Rizespor
Rizespor
W L W D L Away · last 5
Gaziantep Stadyumu · Gaziantep Referee Batuhan Kolak, Türkiye
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.10 ✗
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 38% · book 2.59 ✗
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 36% · book 2.71 ✓
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.80 – 0.93
Δ −0.13
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.10 — +1.6% better than the market.

This Süper Lig clash at Gaziantep Stadyumu hints at a balanced contest. Both sides show similar recent form and points per game, suggesting a tight battle. The home side's slight momentum and familiar surroundings may offer a mild edge, but Rizespor's attacking threat is notable. Expect a tactical game with moderate tempo, where set-pieces and compact defending could be decisive.

  • Home momentum vs away attacking threat
  • Balanced recent form and points
  • Moderate pace favors structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.10 ✗ Lost
AI 48% Implied 48% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

GAZ 1 – 2 RIZ
56%
Possession (%)
44%
0.80
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.93
16
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
4
10
Shots Inside Box
5
8
Corner Kicks
0
2
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
17
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Rizespor won 2–1 away at Gaziantep FK. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 10, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.93 units (Brier 0.201).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.10 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.59 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.71 — 36% Cashed +1.71 Cashed
BTTS No 2.23 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.80 — 52% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.62 — 56% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.76 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.50 — 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.54 — 62% Cashed +0.54 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 — 69% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Draw 3.62 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −1.93u −18% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
GAZ – RIZ @ 2.10
+1.6%
Edge
Forecast →