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Home Turkey Süper Lig Konyaspor — Kocaelispor

Match Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor August 29, 2026 — Result and Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Konyaspor
Konyaspor
Home · last 5 L L L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 16:00
1:2
Full-time
Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor
L W W Away · last 5
Referee Gurcan Hasova, Türkiye
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.78
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 59% · book 1.91
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 56% · book 1.80
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.77 – 0.67
Δ +0.10
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.78 — +14.8% better than the market.

Konyaspor faces a tough challenge against Kocaelispor, who arrive with better recent form and momentum. Kocaelispor’s ability to secure points away contrasts with Konyaspor’s struggles, hinting at an away edge. The match is likely to be cautious, with both sides showing defensive resilience and a tendency for under 2.5 goals.

  • Kocaelispor’s recent wins suggest growing confidence on the road.
  • Konyaspor’s home form is shaky, limiting their attacking threat.
  • Low-scoring pattern expected given defensive setups and past encounters.

Expect a tactical battle with limited goal-scoring chances, favoring a tight scoreline and possibly a draw or narrow away win.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.78 ✗ Lost
AI 64% Implied 56% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

KON 12 KOC
44%
Possession (%)
56%
0.77
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.67
10
Total Shots
15
0
Shots on Target
7
9
Shots off Target
5
5
Shots Inside Box
5
1
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
12
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
1
Yellow Cards
3
6
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match recap

Kocaelispor won 2–1 away at Konyaspor. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 88% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 10, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 4 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.17 units (Brier 0.275).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.78 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.91 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.80 56% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Home Win 2.09 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.13 36% Cashed +1.13 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.84 41% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
Away Win 3.78 30% Cashed +2.78 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.28 83% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.30 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.47 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.52 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 6 L −0.17u −2% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
KON – KOC @ 1.78
+14.8%
Edge
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