Match Rizespor vs Samsunspor August 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.50 — +8.8% better than the market.

Rizespor hosts Samsunspor in a Süper Lig clash

Rizespor arrives with strong home momentum after a recent win, while Samsunspor's form shows signs of resilience with a draw. The home side likely holds a mild advantage in pressing and set-piece threat, but Samsunspor's compact defensive block could keep things tight. Expect a moderately paced game with chances at both ends, supported by odds favoring over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

Rizespor’s home edge and recent win boost confidence
Samsunspor’s defensive solidity may limit clear-cut chances
Odds suggest an open game with goal opportunities for both sides

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 3.50 ✓ Cashed

AI 31% Implied 29% +2.50u

+250%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

RIZ 4-2-3-1 · SAM 4-3-3

RIZ · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · SAM

9 Sowe

📊 Statistics

RIZ 0 – 2 SAM

60%

Possession (%)

40%

1.60

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.28

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Samsunspor won 2–0 away at Rizespor. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.60 to 0.28. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 28 shots to 6, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 2 from 0.28 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.32 units (Brier 0.309).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.88	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.67	—	58%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Home Win	2.30	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.15	—	36%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.00	—	37%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.50	—	31%	Cashed	+2.50	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.40	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.36	—	55%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−0.32u	−3% ROI