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Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Piast Gliwice — Pogon Szczecin

Predictions by Market: Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice
Home · last 5 W D D L L
Kick-off
Mon 13 Apr · 17:00
0:2
Full-time
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
D W L W D Away · last 5
Referee Lukasz Kuzma, Poland

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PIA
34%
Best 2.10
Draw
26%
Best 3.40
Away Win · POG
40%
Best 3.20
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 11.00
Fair odds
9.73
book 11.00 · +13.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 10% · EV +13.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (90%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 34.2%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 40.2%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.7%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 43%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 31.6%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 77.1%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.3%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.7%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 68.4%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22.9%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 51.7%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.3%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 40.2%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 34.2%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 59.8%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
PIA – POG @ 11.00
+13.1%
Edge
Forecast →