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Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Korona Kielce — Jagiellonia

Predictions by Market: Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
Home · last 5 D D L W D
Kick-off
Fri 10 Apr · 18:30
1:1
Full-time
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
L W W D W Away · last 5
Suzuki Arena · Kielce Referee Pawel Malec, Poland

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · KOR
28%
Best 2.62
Draw
25%
Best 3.49
Away Win · JAG
47%
Best 2.44
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.25
Fair odds
3.74
book 4.25 · +13.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 27% · EV +13.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (73%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 47.2%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 28.1%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 24.7%
Odds 3.69
Show model details
Implied probability 27.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 49%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 26.8%
Odds 4.25
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 27.7%
Odds 2.85
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.9%
Odds 14.10
Show model details
Implied probability 7.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.1%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 73.3%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.8%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.2%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 47.2%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 28.1%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 52.8%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
KOR – JAG @ 4.25
+13.7%
Edge
Forecast →