Match Widzew Łódź vs Nieciecza April 11, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Widzew Łódź holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid home defensive record, which could stifle Nieciecza’s attacking threat despite their slightly better offensive numbers. Recent form favors Widzew with more consistent points, suggesting home momentum. Expect a tactical battle where Widzew’s compact block and home pressing edge might limit chances, leading to a tight contest with moderate goal expectancy.

Home defensive solidity vs away attack
Widzew’s better recent form and home momentum
Moderate pace suggested by odds, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

WID 4-3-3 · TER 3-4-3

WID · 4-3-3 3-4-3 · TER

7 Fornalczyk

📊 Statistics

WID 1 – 0 TER

56%

Possession (%)

44%

2.14

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.72

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

70%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Widzew Łódź beat Nieciecza 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 79% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.14 to 0.72. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 9, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.99 units (Brier 0.154).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.72	—	62%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.12	—	53%	Cashed	+1.12	Cashed
BTTS No	2.08	—	51%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.30	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.75	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.76	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	—	74%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.10	—	29%	Cashed	+3.10	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.20	—	85%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.30	—	62%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.88	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	91%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	4.00	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.24	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.00	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.90	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.99u	−12% ROI