Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce 4:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.38 — +7.3% better than the market.

Lechia Gdansk enters this clash with a clear quality edge and stronger recent form, showing home momentum after a mixed but promising run. Their offensive strength against Korona's leaky defense suggests they can create chances, while their defensive solidity should limit the visitors' opportunities. Expect a controlled tempo with Lechia leveraging their home advantage and pressing edge to dictate play.

Home side's attacking prowess vs away defensive struggles
Recent form favors Lechia's consistency
Moderate pace expected, leaning towards a tactical, structured game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.38 ✓ Cashed

AI 78% Implied 72% +0.38u

+38%

ROI on stake

Lineups

LEC 4-2-3-1 · KOR 3-4-3

LEC · 4-2-3-1 3-4-3 · KOR

89 Bobček

Statistics

LEC 4 – 2 KOR

52%

Possession (%)

48%

3.12

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.90

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Lechia Gdansk beat Korona Kielce 4–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.12 to 1.90. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.10 units (Brier 0.164).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.23	—	52%	Cashed	+1.23	Cashed
BTTS No	2.38	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.20	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.80	—	53%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	56%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.73	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.40	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.38	—	78%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.47	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.93	—	31%	Cashed	+1.93	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.58	—	52%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.50	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.26	—	77%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.28	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.10u	−18% ROI

Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce 4:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled