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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Lechia Gdansk — Pogon Szczecin

Match Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin March 21, 2026 — Result and Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk
Lechia Gdansk
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 21 Mar · 16:30
2:1
Full-time
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
D W L W D Away · last 5
Referee Wojciech Myc, Poland
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 51% · book 2.25
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 44% · book 2.60
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.40
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
2.61 – 1.32
Δ +1.29
Possession
41% – 59%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Lechia Gdansk holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, supported by a solid attacking line facing a less resilient Pogon defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while Pogon’s impressive winning streak away hints at confidence but defensive vulnerabilities may be exposed. Expect a moderately paced game with chances for both sides, though Lechia’s home edge and pressing style could tilt the balance.

  • Home attacking pressure vs away defensive gaps
  • Lechia’s home form contrasts Pogon’s away streak
  • Moderate tempo favors structured play and set-piece threats

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

LEC 21 POG
41%
Possession (%)
59%
2.61
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.32
15
Total Shots
17
7
Shots on Target
6
5
Shots off Target
1
9
Shots Inside Box
10
7
Corner Kicks
9
0
Offsides
4
10
Fouls
6
69%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
1
Yellow Cards
0
6
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Lechia Gdansk beat Pogon Szczecin 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 77% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.61 to 1.32. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.68 units (Brier 0.123).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.25 51% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
BTTS No 2.60 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.40 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.70 51% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.62 53% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.70 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.55 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.25 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.42 76% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.56 69% Cashed +0.56 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.00 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.53 56% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Under 0.5 17.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.00 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 93% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.20 76% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Draw 3.70 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.68u −28% ROI