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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › Genk — Gent

Genk vs Gent 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Genk
Genk
Home · last 5 W D D L W
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 14:00
1:1
Full-time
Gent
Gent
W W D W W Away · last 5
Cegeka Arena · Genk
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.81 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 60% · book 1.70 ✓
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 48% · book 2.04 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
7 / 13
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 3.00 — +14.7% better than the market.

Genk hosts Gent in a clash where Gent's impressive winning streak contrasts with Genk's mixed recent form. Despite Gent's strong momentum, Genk's home resilience and slightly higher expected goals hint at a competitive encounter. The match could see a lively pace given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals, suggesting open play and attacking intent from both sides.

  • Gent's confidence from consecutive wins
  • Genk's home edge and goal threat
  • Potential for an open, high-tempo game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5
Over 3.5 @ 3.00 ✗ Lost
AI 38% Implied 33% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

GEN 1 – 1 GEN
64%
Possession (%)
36%
17
Total Shots
16
6
Shots on Target
5
6
Shots off Target
6
10
Shots Inside Box
11
4
Corner Kicks
9
0
Offsides
4
8
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
5
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

Genk and Gent drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 7 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.07 units (Brier 0.194).

Bet recap · markets settled

13 · 7 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.81 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.70 — 60% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Home Win 2.04 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.78 — 52% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
BTTS No 2.25 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.02 — 40% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.28 — 74% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 — 62% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.25 — 81% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Away Win 3.83 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.50 — 26% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.10 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 13 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 6 L −0.07u −1% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
GEN – GEN @ 3.00
+14.7%
Edge
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