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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › KVC Westerlo — Zulte Waregem

KVC Westerlo vs Zulte Waregem 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo
Home · last 5 L D W W W
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 17:15
2:2
Full-time
Zulte Waregem
Zulte Waregem
D W L L L Away · last 5
Het Kuipje · Westerlo Referee Simon Bourdeaud'hui, Belgium
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 45% · book 2.62 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.40 ✗
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 69% · book 1.61 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
2.16 – 1.51
Δ +0.65
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.61 — +11.5% better than the market.

KVC Westerlo faces a tough challenge at home against Zulte Waregem, who arrive with better recent form and momentum. Westerlo’s three straight losses contrast with Zulte’s unbeaten run in their last three, suggesting an edge in confidence and sharpness. The match is likely to be cautious, with both sides showing signs of defensive solidity and a moderate pace hinted by odds favoring under 2.5 goals.

  • Zulte’s away resilience could limit Westerlo’s attacking threat.
  • Westerlo’s home pressure might be blunted by Zulte’s compact block.
  • Expect a tactical battle with few clear-cut chances.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.61 ✗ Lost
AI 69% Implied 62% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

WES 2 – 2 WAR
54%
Possession (%)
46%
2.16
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.51
16
Total Shots
14
7
Shots on Target
5
5
Shots off Target
7
11
Shots Inside Box
11
3
Corner Kicks
8
2
Offsides
0
18
Fouls
12
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
1
Yellow Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

KVC Westerlo and Zulte Waregem drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.16 to 1.51. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +1.14 units (Brier 0.271).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.62 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.40 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.61 — 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.67 — 59% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Away Win 2.31 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.34 — 31% Cashed +1.34 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.41 — 66% Cashed +0.41 Cashed
Home Win 2.91 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.44 — 55% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.53 — 51% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Draw 3.75 — 25% Cashed +2.75 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 6 W · 5 L +1.14u +10% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
WES – WAR @ 1.61
+11.5%
Edge
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