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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › Gent — Club Brugge KV

Gent vs Club Brugge KV 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Gent
Gent
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 11:30
2:1
Full-time
Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
L W W W W Away · last 5
Ghelamco Arena · Ghent Referee E. Lambrechts
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 52% · book 2.10 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 65% · book 1.63 ✓
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 44% · book 2.39 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.38 – 0.65
Δ +0.73
Possession
37% – 63%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 2.10 — +9.9% better than the market.

Gent hosts Club Brugge KV in a clash where home momentum meets away resilience. Gent's perfect recent form contrasts with Club Brugge's solid but less consistent run, suggesting a slight edge for the hosts. The match hints at a lively tempo, supported by odds favoring over 2.5 goals, indicating attacking intent from both sides.

  • Gent's home confidence and recent wins boost their pressing edge.
  • Club Brugge's ability to score away adds a tactical threat.
  • Historical encounters show competitive balance, promising an open contest.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 2.10 ✓ Cashed
AI 52% Implied 48% +1.10u
+110%
ROI on stake

Statistics

GEN 2 – 1 CLU
37%
Possession (%)
63%
1.38
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.65
13
Total Shots
8
8
Shots on Target
3
4
Shots off Target
4
9
Shots Inside Box
5
1
Corner Kicks
5
14
Fouls
10
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
92%
3
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match recap

Gent beat Club Brugge KV 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 63% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.38 to 0.65. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 8, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net +0.03 units (Brier 0.219).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 2.10 — 52% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.63 — 65% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.39 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.38 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.77 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.35 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.20 — 29% Cashed +3.20 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.57 — 64% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.23 — 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.53 — 56% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Draw 4.15 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L +0.03u +0% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
GEN – CLU @ 2.10
+9.9%
Edge
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