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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › Cercle Brugge — Lommel United

Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge
Home · last 5 L L D L L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 18:45
0:1
Full-time
Lommel United
Lommel United
W L L D W Away · last 5
Referee M. Ledda
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 41% · book 2.52 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 34% · book 2.26 ✓
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 59% · book 1.53 ✗
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
1.25 – 1.62
Δ −0.37
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
3 / 7
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 5.63 — +12.3% better than the market.

Cercle Brugge shows signs of home momentum despite a mixed recent run, while Lommel United has edged slightly ahead in form over the last five games. The home side's compact block and set-piece threat could challenge Lommel's defense, but the visitors' pressing edge and counter-attacking pace may unlock chances. Expect a balanced contest with moderate goal potential, leaning towards a home win given Cercle's steadier home rhythm.

  • Home side's defensive solidity
  • Away team's pressing and counter-attack
  • Moderate goal environment suggested by odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 5.63 ✓ Cashed
AI 20% Implied 18% +4.63u
+463%
ROI on stake

Statistics

CER 0 – 1 KVS
53%
Possession (%)
47%
1.25
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.62
19
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Target
3
8
Shots off Target
7
13
Shots Inside Box
9
9
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
0
10
Fouls
10
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Lommel United won 1–0 away at Cercle Brugge. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 13, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 3 landed and 4 missed, for a net +3.41 units (Brier 0.414).

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 3 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.52 — 41% Cashed +1.52 Cashed
BTTS No 2.26 — 34% Cashed +1.26 Cashed
Home Win 1.53 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.63 — 20% Cashed +4.63 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.57 — 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.15 — 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.66 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each — — — 3 W · 4 L +3.41u +49% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
CER – KVS @ 5.63
+12.3%
Edge
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