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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › Genk — SK Beveren

Genk vs SK Beveren 4:0: Match Review & Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Genk
Genk
Home · last 5 W D D L W
Kick-off
Fri 28 Aug · 18:45
4:0
Full-time
SK Beveren
SK Beveren
L W W L L Away · last 5
Cegeka Arena · Genk Referee B. Verbeke
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.37 ✗
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 41% · book 2.52 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.09 ✓
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
3.06 – 0.61
Δ +2.45
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 5.88 — +12.6% better than the market.

Genk shows stronger recent form and home momentum against a struggling SK Beveren side. The hosts' ability to control tempo and create chances suggests a pressing edge, while Beveren's defensive lapses could be exploited. Expect a moderately paced game with tactical discipline from Genk aiming to capitalize on set-piece opportunities.

  • Home side's better form and higher scoring potential
  • Defensive vulnerabilities of the visitors
  • Likely controlled tempo favoring Genk's style

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 5.88 ✗ Lost
AI 19% Implied 17% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

GEN 4 – 0 WAA
49%
Possession (%)
51%
3.06
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.61
12
Total Shots
13
7
Shots on Target
1
3
Shots off Target
3
10
Shots Inside Box
7
3
Corner Kicks
9
0
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
4
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
0
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Genk beat SK Beveren 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.06 to 0.61. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 3.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.77 units (Brier 0.214).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.37 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.52 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.09 — 48% Cashed +1.09 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.70 — 54% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.75 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.75 — 32% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.55 — 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.55 — 59% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Away Win 5.88 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.14 — 81% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Draw 4.50 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −1.77u −16% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
GEN – WAA @ 5.88
+12.6%
Edge
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