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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League Genk — SK Beveren

Preview Genk vs SK Beveren August 28, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Genk
Genk
Home · last 5 L W D
Kick-off
Fri 28 Aug · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
SK Beveren
SK Beveren
L W L Away · last 5
Cegeka Arena · Genk Referee B. Verbeke
Home Win · GEN
59%
Best 1.52
Draw
22%
Best 4.50
Away Win · WAA
19%
Best 6.04

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Genk to win — 59% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Genk shows stronger recent form and home momentum against a struggling SK Beveren side. The hosts' ability to control tempo and create chances suggests a pressing edge, while Beveren's defensive lapses could be exploited. Expect a moderately paced game with tactical discipline from Genk aiming to capitalize on set-piece opportunities.

  • Home side's better form and higher scoring potential
  • Defensive vulnerabilities of the visitors
  • Likely controlled tempo favoring Genk's style

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 59% Genk win
Over/Under 2.5 54% Over 2.5
BTTS 52% Yes
Double Chance 81% 1X
  • 1X2 Genk win 59%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54%
  • BTTS Yes 52%
  • Double Chance 1X 81%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Genk
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 10 / 8
Avg goals / match 3.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-2-1
xG (for / against) 1.10 / 1.17
SK Beveren
W/D/L 1-0-2
Goals (for / against) 2 / 6
Avg goals / match 2.7
Scored in 2/3
Clean sheets 1/3
Both teams scored 1/3
Over 2.5 2/3
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 0.79 / 1.98

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.67
Goals Scored
0.67
2.67
Goals Conceded
2
1.01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
3.33
Shots on Target
3.33
2.33
Corners
3.33
39
Possession (%)
50.67
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
83
OFF · home
22
22
DEF · home
61
22
OFF · away
11
72
DEF · away
28
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Genk wins when scoring first
SK Beveren wins when scoring first
Genk BTTS rate · last 10
40%
SK Beveren BTTS rate · last 3
33%
Genk Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
SK Beveren Over 2.5 · last 3
67%
Genk comeback rate · last 10
SK Beveren comeback rate · last 3
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Genk · last 5 at home

0–15 17%
16–30 33%
31–45 17%
46–60 33%
61–75 0%
76–90 0%
Front-loaded — most goals fall in the opening half-hour.

Top scorers

R. Durosinmi
GEN · Attacker
3 G · 1.35 g/90
A. Bibout
GEN · Attacker
2 G
C. Lokesa
WAA · Midfielder
1 G