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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › Gent — KV Mechelen

Predictions by Market: Gent vs KV Mechelen

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Gent
Gent
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Sun 09 Aug · 11:30
2:0
Full-time
KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen
L D L L D Away · last 5
Ghelamco Arena · Ghent Referee E. Lambrechts

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GEN
46%
Best 1.95
Draw
25%
Best 3.66
Away Win · MEC
29%
Best 3.84
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.70
Fair odds
3.49
book 3.70 · +6.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Low
p 29% · EV +6.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (46%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 28.7%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 25.3%
Odds 3.68
Show model details
Implied probability 27.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 49.9%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 71%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 54%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 71.3%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
GEN – MEC @ 3.70
+6.1%
Edge
Forecast →