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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › AZ Alkmaar — Excelsior

Prediction: AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior, March 21

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Home · last 5 W W D W L
Kick-off
Sun 21 Mar · 16:00
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Excelsior
Excelsior
W W D L D Away · last 5
AFAS Stadion(Alkmaar) · Alkmaar

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ALK
—%
Best —
Draw
—%
Best —
Away Win · EXC
—%
Best —
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
AZ Alkmaar
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 5 / 6
Avg goals / match 2.2
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.27 / 2.57
Excelsior
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 10 / 7
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 5/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-2-0
xG (for / against) 1.17 / 0.97

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.25
Goals Scored
2.14
1
Goals Conceded
1.29
1.55
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
6.88
Shots on Target
4.57
8.25
Corners
4.29
58.88
Possession (%)
40.71
95.83
Efficiency index
107.29
153.17
Adjusted index
125.10
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
67
OFF · home
11
89
DEF · home
56
78
OFF · away
83
61
DEF · away
72
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
AZ Alkmaar wins when scoring first
—
①
Excelsior wins when scoring first
—
⚽
AZ Alkmaar BTTS rate · last 10
50%
⚽
Excelsior BTTS rate · last 10
80%
↑
AZ Alkmaar Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↑
Excelsior Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
↩
AZ Alkmaar comeback rate · last 10
50%
↩
Excelsior comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

AZ Alkmaar · last 3 at home

0–15 12%
16–30 25%
31–45 25%
46–60 12%
61–75 0%
76–90 25%

Excelsior · last 3 away

0–15 33%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 67%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

R. Daal
ALK · Midfielder
4 G · 0.62 g/90
M. Meerdink
ALK · Attacker
3 G · 0.48 g/90
D. Garden
EXC · Attacker
3 G · 0.63 g/90
A. Sliti
EXC · Attacker
3 G · 0.74 g/90