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Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Lechia Gdansk — Jagiellonia

Predictions by Market: Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Lechia Gdansk
Lechia Gdansk
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Fri 06 Mar · 19:30
3:0
Full-time
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
L W W D W Away · last 5
Referee Piotr Lasyk, Poland

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LEC
47%
Best 2.40
Draw
24%
Best 3.55
Away Win · JAG
29%
Best 2.62
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.48
Fair odds
2.29
book 2.48 · +8.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 44% · EV +8.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (56%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 47.1%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 28.6%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 46.6%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 31.7%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 23.4%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 68.3%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.9%
Odds 14.30
Show model details
Implied probability 7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.1%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 76.6%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 43.6%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.59
Show model details
Implied probability 62.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 47.1%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 28.6%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 71.4%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 53%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
LEC – JAG @ 2.48
+8.1%
Edge
Forecast →