P
Prognosist
P
Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Excelsior — AZ Alkmaar

Prediction: Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar, December 20

Excelsior
Excelsior
Home · last 5 W W D L D
Kick-off
Sun 20 Dec · 16:00
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
W W D W L Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · EXC
—%
Best —
Draw
—%
Best —
Away Win · ALK
—%
Best —
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Excelsior
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 10 / 7
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 5/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-2-0
xG (for / against) 1.17 / 0.97
AZ Alkmaar
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 5 / 6
Avg goals / match 2.2
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.27 / 2.57

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.14
Goals Scored
2.25
1.29
Goals Conceded
1
0.69
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
4.57
Shots on Target
6.88
4.29
Corners
8.25
40.71
Possession (%)
58.88
107.29
Efficiency index
95.83
125.10
Adjusted index
153.17
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
11
OFF · home
67
56
DEF · home
89
83
OFF · away
78
72
DEF · away
61
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Excelsior wins when scoring first
—
①
AZ Alkmaar wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Excelsior BTTS rate · last 10
80%
⚽
AZ Alkmaar BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
Excelsior Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
↑
AZ Alkmaar Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↩
Excelsior comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
AZ Alkmaar comeback rate · last 10
50%

Goal timing

Excelsior · last 4 at home

0–15 50%
16–30 25%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 25%

AZ Alkmaar · last 4 away

0–15 17%
16–30 17%
31–45 0%
46–60 33%
61–75 0%
76–90 33%
Front-loaded — most goals fall in the opening half-hour.

Top scorers

D. Garden
EXC · Attacker
3 G · 0.63 g/90
A. Sliti
EXC · Attacker
3 G · 0.74 g/90
R. Daal
ALK · Midfielder
4 G · 0.62 g/90
M. Meerdink
ALK · Attacker
3 G · 0.48 g/90