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Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Pogon Szczecin — Widzew Łódź

Predictions by Market: Pogon Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
Home · last 5 D W L W D
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 13:45
1:0
Full-time
Widzew Łódź
Widzew Łódź
W L W L W Away · last 5
Florian-Krygier-Stadion · Szczecin Referee Piotr Lasyk, Poland

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · POG
48%
Best 2.27
Draw
25%
Best 3.41
Away Win · WID
27%
Best 2.88
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.10
Fair odds
3.63
book 4.10 · +12.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +12.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (72%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 48.2%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 26.6%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 25.2%
Odds 3.49
Show model details
Implied probability 28.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 52.3%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 47.8%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 73.3%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.5%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 26.7%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.3%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.7%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.5%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 48.2%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 26.6%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 73.4%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
POG – WID @ 4.10
+12.9%
Edge
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