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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Cambuur — NEC Nijmegen

Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen 3:0: Match Review & Stats

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Cambuur
Cambuur
Home · last 5 L L D W D
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 19:00
3:0
Full-time
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
L D L D D Away · last 5
Kooi Stadion · Leeuwarden Referee I. Oostrom
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 40% · book 2.80 ✓
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 53% · book 1.86 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 39% · book 2.47 ✓
Total goals
3
3 · 0
Possession
37% – 63%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 2.80 — +11.3% better than the market.

NEC Nijmegen enters this clash with clear momentum, showing stronger recent form and a higher scoring threat compared to struggling Cambuur. The home side's poor run and low expected goals hint at a tough day against NEC's sharper attack.

  • NEC's offensive edge likely to challenge Cambuur's defense.
  • Home side's form suggests limited goal threat.
  • Match pace expected to favor NEC's pressing style.

Expect NEC to control proceedings, with Cambuur relying on defensive resilience but facing an uphill battle to secure points at Kooi Stadion.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 2.80 ✓ Cashed
AI 40% Implied 36% +1.80u
+180%
ROI on stake

Statistics

CAM 3 – 0 NIJ
37%
Possession (%)
63%
16
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Target
1
6
Shots off Target
7
11
Shots Inside Box
5
4
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
0
16
Fouls
18
2
Yellow Cards
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Cambuur beat NEC Nijmegen 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 63% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 10, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net +3.35 units (Brier 0.312).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 2.80 — 40% Cashed +1.80 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.86 — 53% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
BTTS No 2.47 — 39% Cashed +1.47 Cashed
Over 3.5 1.98 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.48 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 5.86 — 20% Cashed +4.86 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.20 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.17 — 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.53 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.09 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.36 — 69% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L +3.35u +30% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
CAM – NIJ @ 2.80
+11.3%
Edge
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