Twente vs Telstar 1:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 6.78 — +12.5% better than the market.

Twente shows stronger recent form and home momentum, having collected more points per game and creating better chances. Their compact defense and ability to control the midfield could limit Telstar’s attacking threat. Meanwhile, Telstar’s away struggles and inconsistent form suggest they may find it tough to break down Twente’s organized setup.

Home side’s pressing edge and set-piece threat
Telstar’s difficulty maintaining possession away
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Draw

Draw @ 6.78 ✗ Lost

AI 17% Implied 15% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

TWE 4-2-3-1 · STO 3-4-2-1

TWE · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · STO

9 Weghorst

Statistics

TWE 1 – 0 STO

63%

Possession (%)

37%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Twente beat Telstar 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 3, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 6 landed and 7 missed, for a net +5.10 units (Brier 0.315).

Bet recap · markets settled

13 · 6 W · 7 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	2.09	—	49%	Cashed	+1.09	Cashed
Over 3.5	1.80	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.20	—	38%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Away Win	11.20	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	4.20	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	6.78	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.06	—	86%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Home Win	1.25	—	69%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Under 2.5	3.50	—	29%	Cashed	+2.50	Cashed
Under 1.5	8.00	—	12%	Cashed	+7.00	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.08	—	88%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.30	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 13 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	6 W · 7 L	+5.10u	+39% ROI

Twente vs Telstar 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled