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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › NEC Nijmegen — Feyenoord

NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord 1:3: Match Review & Stats

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
Home · last 5 L D L D D
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 14:30
1:3
Full-time
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
D W W W W Away · last 5
Goffertstadion · Nijmegen Referee Allard Lindhout
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 61% · book 2.00 ✓
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 46% · book 2.10 ✓
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 54% · book 1.76 ✗
Total goals
4
1 · 3
Possession
62% – 38%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.44 — +11.8% better than the market.

Feyenoord arrives at Goffertstadion with a clear attacking edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite NEC Nijmegen's home momentum. The high expected goals for Feyenoord hint at a lively offensive display, while NEC's resilience could keep the match competitive.

  • Feyenoord's pressing and goal threat likely to challenge NEC's defense
  • NEC's home support may fuel a spirited response
  • Match pace expected to favor open, attacking play

Expect a dynamic encounter with goals on both sides, as the teams have traded high-scoring games recently. The balance of quality and form leans slightly towards the visitors, but NEC's home grit could make this a tight contest.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.44 ✓ Cashed
AI 78% Implied 69% +0.44u
+44%
ROI on stake

Statistics

NIJ 1 – 3 FEY
62%
Possession (%)
38%
11
Total Shots
11
2
Shots on Target
6
6
Shots off Target
3
5
Shots Inside Box
7
1
Corner Kicks
1
2
Offsides
3
9
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Feyenoord won 3–1 away at NEC Nijmegen. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.66 units (Brier 0.121).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.00 — 61% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Away Win 2.10 — 46% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.76 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.92 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.40 — 78% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.44 — 78% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.40 — 69% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Home Win 3.13 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 3.10 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.94 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.10 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −2.66u −24% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
NIJ – FEY @ 1.44
+11.8%
Edge
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