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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Sparta Rotterdam — PEC Zwolle

Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Fri 04 Sep · 18:00
2:2
Full-time
PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
W L D L L Away · last 5
Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel · Rotterdam Referee Stan Teuben
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 64% · book 1.74 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 43% · book 2.63 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 44% · book 2.54 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.63 — +12.7% better than the market.

Sparta Rotterdam hosts PEC Zwolle in a clash where the visitors show better recent form and slightly higher points per game, suggesting an edge in momentum. Sparta’s home resilience contrasts with Zwolle’s sharper away performances, hinting at a tactical battle. Expect a moderately paced game with a compact defensive setup from Sparta and Zwolle’s pressing threat on transitions.

  • PEC Zwolle’s recent form gives them a slight upper hand.
  • Sparta’s home solidity may limit scoring chances.
  • Moderate tempo likely, favoring tactical discipline.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.63 ✗ Lost
AI 43% Implied 38% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

SPA 2 – 2 ZWO
56%
Possession (%)
44%
21
Total Shots
15
8
Shots on Target
6
5
Shots off Target
7
15
Shots Inside Box
10
15
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
11
0
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match recap

Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 15, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 15 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +1.60 units (Brier 0.255).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.74 — 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.63 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.54 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.05 — 52% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Home Win 1.85 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.20 — 36% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
Away Win 3.98 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.25 — 72% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.50 — 57% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.50 — 56% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Draw 4.10 — 23% Cashed +3.10 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 6 W · 5 L +1.60u +15% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
SPA – ZWO @ 2.63
+12.7%
Edge
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