Cambuur vs Twente 1:4 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 5.51 — +4.8% better than the market.

Twente arrives with clear momentum, showing better recent form and a higher scoring threat compared to struggling Cambuur. The home side's winless streak suggests defensive vulnerabilities that Twente's sharper attack can exploit. Expect Twente to control the tempo and press for goals, while Cambuur may rely on a compact block to limit damage.

Twente's superior form and goal threat
Cambuur's defensive frailties at home
Likely moderate pace with chances for both sides

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Draw

Draw @ 5.51 ✗ Lost

AI 19% Implied 18% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

CAM 4-3-3 · TWE 4-2-3-1

CAM · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · TWE

28 Costarelli

Statistics

CAM 1 – 4 TWE

36%

Possession (%)

64%

0.47

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.76

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Twente won 4–1 away at Cambuur. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.76 to 0.47. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 10, 10 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.76 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.24 units (Brier 0.152).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.73	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.70	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	58%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
BTTS No	2.15	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.15	—	41%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
Home Win	8.50	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	3.40	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.11	—	83%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.44	—	63%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Away Win	1.36	—	64%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Draw	5.51	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−3.24u	−29% ROI

Cambuur vs Twente 1:4: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled