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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Cambuur — Twente

Preview Cambuur vs Twente August 30, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Cambuur
Cambuur
Home · last 5 L L L
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 18:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Twente
Twente
L W Away · last 5
Kooi Stadion · Leeuwarden Referee E. Blank
Home Win · CAM
17%
Best 8.50
Draw
19%
Best 5.51
Away Win · TWE
64%
Best 1.36

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Twente to win — 64% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 58%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Twente arrives with clear momentum, showing better recent form and a higher scoring threat compared to struggling Cambuur. The home side's winless streak suggests defensive vulnerabilities that Twente's sharper attack can exploit. Expect Twente to control the tempo and press for goals, while Cambuur may rely on a compact block to limit damage.

  • Twente's superior form and goal threat
  • Cambuur's defensive frailties at home
  • Likely moderate pace with chances for both sides

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 64% Twente win
Over/Under 2.5 63% Over 2.5
BTTS 58% Yes
Double Chance 83% X2
  • 1X2 Twente win 64%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63%
  • BTTS Yes 58%
  • Double Chance X2 83%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Cambuur
W/D/L 0-0-3
Goals (for / against) 3 / 12
Avg goals / match 5.0
Scored in 2/3
Clean sheets 0/3
Both teams scored 2/3
Over 2.5 3/3
Home (W-D-L) 0-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.43 / 2.42
Twente
W/D/L 1-1-3
Goals (for / against) 7 / 11
Avg goals / match 3.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-2
xG (for / against) 1.75 / 1.21

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1
Goals Scored
1.50
4
Goals Conceded
1
1.43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
4.33
Shots on Target
6.50
5
Corners
7
51.67
Possession (%)
61.50
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
22
OFF · home
78
22
DEF · home
100
72
OFF · away
44
67
DEF · away
94
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Cambuur wins when scoring first
Twente wins when scoring first
Cambuur BTTS rate · last 3
67%
Twente BTTS rate · last 10
80%
Cambuur Over 2.5 · last 3
100%
Twente Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
Cambuur comeback rate · last 3
0%
Twente comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Twente · last 4 away

0–15 29%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 29%
61–75 14%
76–90 29%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

R. El Arguioui
CAM · Midfielder
3 G · 1.00 g/90
Wessel van der Goot
CAM · Midfielder
0 G