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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Korona Kielce — Lech Poznan

Predictions Korona Kielce vs Lech Poznan February 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
Home · last 5 D D L W D
Kick-off
Sun 22 Feb · 16:30
1:2
Full-time
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
W W D W D Away · last 5
Exbud Arena · Kielce Referee Piotr Lasyk, Poland
Home Win · KOR
29%
Best 2.87
Draw
26%
Best 3.40
Away Win · LEC
45%
Best 2.31
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.30
Fair odds
2.08
book 2.30 · +10.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +10.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (52%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 45%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 28.9%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 26.2%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 52.2%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 47.8%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 27.3%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 72.7%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 27.7%
Odds 4.23
Show model details
Implied probability 23.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 8.5%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.5%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 72.4%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 48.1%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 45%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 28.9%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 71.1%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 55%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
KOR – LEC @ 2.30
+10.5%
Edge
Forecast →