PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen 1:3 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.63 — +8.1% better than the market.

NEC Nijmegen enters this clash with a clear form and quality edge, showing more consistent attacking threat and better recent results. PEC Zwolle's home momentum looks fragile, with limited offensive output and a patchy defense that NEC can exploit. The pace hints at a moderately open game, favoring NEC's sharper transitions and pressing style.

NEC's superior form and away resilience
PEC's struggles to maintain home control
Potential for NEC to capitalize on defensive gaps

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.63 ✗ Lost

AI 41% Implied 38% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ZWO 4-2-3-1 · NIJ 3-4-2-1

ZWO · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · NIJ

10 Kostons

Statistics

ZWO 1 – 3 NIJ

52%

Possession (%)

48%

1.98

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.01

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

70%

Pass Accuracy (%)

67%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

NEC Nijmegen won 3–1 away at PEC Zwolle. At half-time it was 1–2.

For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.06 units (Brier 0.146).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.63	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.10	—	49%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.30	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.68	—	55%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.79	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.72	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.44	—	69%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.22	—	77%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.50	—	59%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Home Win	4.50	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.53	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−3.06u	−28% ROI

PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen 1:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled