🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 69% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams to score 59%, NEC Nijmegen to win 55%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
NEC Nijmegen enters this clash with a clear form and quality edge, showing more consistent attacking threat and better recent results. PEC Zwolle's home momentum looks fragile, with limited offensive output and a patchy defense that NEC can exploit. The pace hints at a moderately open game, favoring NEC's sharper transitions and pressing style.
- NEC's superior form and away resilience
- PEC's struggles to maintain home control
- Potential for NEC to capitalize on defensive gaps
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 55% | NEC Nijmegen win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 69% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 59% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 77% | X2 |
- 1X2 NEC Nijmegen win 55%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69%
- BTTS Yes 59%
- Double Chance X2 77%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
PEC Zwolle
W/D/L
1-0-4
Goals (for / against)
5 / 10
Avg goals / match
3.0
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
xG (for / against)
0.72 / 1.91
NEC Nijmegen
W/D/L
2-0-3
Goals (for / against)
8 / 10
Avg goals / match
3.6
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
5/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
xG (for / against)
2.44 / 1.44
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
PEC Zwolle wins when scoring first
—
①
NEC Nijmegen wins when scoring first
—
⚽
PEC Zwolle BTTS rate · last 10
50%
⚽
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate · last 10
80%
↑
PEC Zwolle Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
NEC Nijmegen Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
PEC Zwolle comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
NEC Nijmegen comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
PEC Zwolle · last 3 at home
0–15
100%
16–30
0%
31–45
0%
46–60
0%
61–75
0%
76–90
0%
NEC Nijmegen · last 3 away
0–15
0%
16–30
12%
31–45
12%
46–60
0%
61–75
38%
76–90
38%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.
