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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Willem II — NEC Nijmegen

Predictions Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen August 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Willem II
Willem II
Home · last 5 L L
Kick-off
Sat 15 Aug · 14:30
1:4
Full-time
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
L W Away · last 5
Koning Willem II Stadion · Tilburg Referee S. Gozubuyuk
Home Win · WIL
22%
Best 4.60
Draw
21%
Best 4.50
Away Win · NIJ
56%
Best 1.69
Value pick
Double Chance 1X
@ 2.63
Fair odds
2.29
book 2.63 · +14.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Medium
p 44% · EV +14.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance X2 is more likely (78%), but Double Chance 1X is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 22.4%
Odds 5.60
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win Best in group
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 21.2%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 37%
Odds 2.71
Show model details
Implied probability 36.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 42.1%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 63%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 38.3%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 61.8%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 43.6%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 77.6%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
WIL – NIJ @ 2.63
+14.6%
Edge
Forecast →